Quarterback Showdown: Predicting the Passing Yards Leader in the NFL Playoffs Prop Bet Among Mahomes, Rodgers, and Brady

NFL Playoffs: Betting on the Quarterback with the Most Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes on a mission


The NFL playoffs have arrived, and with it comes the excitement of prop bets. One intriguing prop bet offered by DraftKings focuses on predicting which quarterback will have the most passing yards throughout the postseason. As we analyze the odds and favorites, it becomes evident that superstar quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady are among the top contenders for this title.

Favorites: Mahomes and Brady

It should come as no surprise that Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady are listed as the favorites with odds of +225 and +275, respectively. Mahomes, who seeks to return to the Super Bowl for the third consecutive year, possesses the skills and determination to outperform his peers. His ability to remain calm under pressure and make eye-popping throws has solidified his status as one of the best quarterbacks in the league.

On the other hand, Brady, the seven-time Super Bowl champion, proves that age is just a number. Despite his seasoned career, he continues to compete at an elite level. While some may worry about the absence of his top receiver, Chris Godwin, and the injury to Mike Evans, Brady’s experience and adaptability make him a formidable contender.

Value Pick: Aaron Rodgers

Although Aaron Rodgers secured a first-round bye as the #1 seed in the NFC with the Green Bay Packers, he still presents a compelling option to lead in passing yards. With odds of +1000, Rodgers boasts the talent and finesse to catch up to Mahomes, playing one fewer postseason game. Known for his precision and deep throws, Rodgers has the potential to surpass expectations and emerge as the passing yards leader.

Other Contenders: Stafford, Burrow, Prescott, Allen

Matthew Stafford, Joe Burrow, Dak Prescott, and Josh Allen find themselves at similar odds (+800) in this prop bet. While they are expected to win their wild-card matchups, they face formidable opponents in the divisional round. These dynamic quarterbacks, each with their own unique strengths, have the opportunity to surpass expectations and make a deep playoff run.

However, out of this group, Allen stands out as a strong contender. Leading the Buffalo Bills, Allen possesses the skill set and determination to rival Mahomes in the second round. His ability to make accurate throws and extend plays with his legs adds a valuable dimension to his game.

Long Shots: Tannehill, Garoppolo, Murray

Ryan Tannehill, Jimmy Garoppolo, and Kyler Murray face greater odds in this prop bet (+2800 and +20000, respectively). While Murray and the Arizona Cardinals face a challenging one-and-done scenario against the LA Rams, Tannehill and the Tennessee Titans possess a favorable path to the Super Bowl. In order for Tannehill to outpace his competitors, he must perform exceptionally well against elite quarterbacks like Mahomes or Allen.

Garoppolo, despite battling injuries, has the experience of leading the San Francisco 49ers to a Super Bowl appearance. Although considered a long shot, the potential for a deep playoff run exists if he can perform at his best.


The prop bet for the quarterback with the most passing yards in the NFL playoffs presents an exciting opportunity for fans and bettors alike. While favorites like Mahomes and Brady garner attention, value picks such as Rodgers and other contenders like Stafford, Burrow, Prescott, and Allen shouldn’t be overlooked. Long shots like Tannehill, Garoppolo, and Murray add an element of unpredictability to the equation. As the playoffs unfold, it will be fascinating to see which quarterback emerges as the passing yards leader.


1. What factors should I consider when selecting a quarterback for this prop bet?

When making your choice, consider the quarterback’s playoff experience, the strength of their team’s offense, the quality of opponents they will face, and any injuries that may impact their performance.

2. Can a quarterback with a first-round bye still have a chance to lead in passing yards?

Yes, a quarterback with a first-round bye has a chance to catch up since they will play fewer postseason games. Their performance in the subsequent rounds will be crucial in surpassing their competitors.

3. Are there any dark horse candidates worth considering for this prop bet?

While the favorites and contenders have the best odds, dark horse candidates like Ryan Tannehill, Jimmy Garoppolo, and Kyler Murray shouldn’t be completely dismissed. These quarterbacks possess unique qualities and have the potential to surprise in the playoffs.

4. Can unexpected events, such as injuries or weather conditions, affect the outcome?

Yes, unexpected events can impact a quarterback’s performance, making it important to stay updated on any relevant information. Injuries to key players or adverse weather conditions can influence passing strategies and overall yardage.

5. Is this prop bet solely based on individual performance?

While the prop bet focuses on individual passing yards, it’s important to acknowledge that a quarterback’s performance is influenced by their supporting cast, including receivers, offensive line, and play-calling. Nevertheless, this prop bet awards the quarterback who accumulates the most passing yards.

Doug I. Jones

Doug I. Jones

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