Shifting Tides: Aaron Rodgers Surges Ahead in NFL MVP Contention

Aaron Rodgers Emerges as MVP Favorite, Surpassing Tom Brady

With only three weeks remaining in the NFL season, the race for the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award is heating up. Aaron Rodgers, the quarterback for the Green Bay Packers, has emerged as the new betting favorite with odds of +125, surpassing Tom Brady from the defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This comes as no surprise as Rodgers is the reigning NFL MVP and has previously won the coveted award three times.

The recent surge of the Green Bay Packers, who are now co-favorites to win the Super Bowl, has significantly influenced the public’s support for Rodgers to win the MVP. In just one week, his odds went from +250 to +125, overshadowing Brady’s chances, according to an update by DraftKings.

Can Rodgers Achieve Back-to-Back MVP Titles?

Aaron Rodgers aims to become the first player since Peyton Manning in 2009 to win back-to-back NFL MVP awards. This feat is incredibly rare and challenging to accomplish. However, considering Rodgers’ exceptional performance and undeniable talent, it is not entirely out of reach. In addition to his potential back-to-back wins, Rodgers is in pursuit of his fourth MVP title. He has proven himself as a formidable competitor in the NFL and remains a top choice for the prestigious award.

Brady’s MVP Quest and Allen’s Fading Odds

Tom Brady, a legendary quarterback, has also had an impressive season and is vying for his fourth MVP title. With previous wins in 2007, 2010, and 2017, Brady has solidified his status as one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time. At the age of 44, he would make history as the oldest player to win the MVP award—an astonishing achievement considering the high level of competition in the NFL.

Meanwhile, Josh Allen, who was previously a co-favorite with Brady at +350 odds in Week 9, has seen his chances diminish due to a rough patch of games for the Buffalo Bills. Allen’s odds now stand at +1800, placing him as a long shot for the MVP title. Despite his recent struggles, Allen’s talent and potential should not be overlooked, but he faces an uphill battle in the race for the MVP.

The Exceptional Performances of Jonathan Taylor and Cooper Kupp

In a league dominated by quarterbacks, the performances of outstanding running backs and wide receivers cannot be ignored. Jonathan Taylor, from the Indianapolis Colts, has been the league leader in rushing, showcasing his undeniable skills in only his second year. With an impressive 1,518 rushing yards and 17 rushing touchdowns, along with contributions in receiving, Taylor finds himself in third place on the MVP board with odds of +750. If he manages to secure the MVP title, Taylor would be the first running back since Adrian Peterson in 2012 to achieve this feat.

Cooper Kupp of the Los Angeles Rams has been a standout receiver throughout the season. Recently, he had a monster game, catching nine passes for 136 yards and two touchdowns. Kupp currently leads the NFL in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns. Despite his exceptional performance, the odds of a wide receiver winning the MVP have historically been low. In fact, no wide receiver has ever won the award. This can be attributed to the league’s shift towards a more pass-oriented style of play, where quarterbacks are often seen as the key players on the field.

Historical MVP Trends and the Dominance of Quarterbacks

The NFL MVP award has predominantly been awarded to quarterbacks, reflecting the league’s reliance on passing offenses in recent years. For eight consecutive seasons and in 13 out of the previous 14 seasons, quarterbacks have claimed the MVP title. This trend aligns with the modern era of football, where the quarterback’s role has become increasingly significant in determining a team’s success. The rarity of running backs and wide receivers winning the MVP, as seen through the likes of Adrian Peterson and Cooper Kupp’s long odds, further emphasizes the quarterback’s dominance in this prestigious award.


As the NFL season nears its end, the competition for the MVP award intensifies. Aaron Rodgers has emerged as the new favorite, surpassing Tom Brady, due to his remarkable performances and a surge of support from the Green Bay Packers’ recent success. However, both quarterbacks face tough competition from exceptional players like Jonathan Taylor, who has excelled as the league’s top rusher, and Cooper Kupp, the standout wide receiver. While history favors quarterbacks in the MVP race, these exceptional players have the potential to challenge the norm and create new milestones in the NFL.

Frequently Asked Questions

1. Can a player win the NFL MVP award in consecutive seasons?

Yes, it is possible for a player to win the MVP award in back-to-back seasons. However, this accomplishment is extremely rare. The last player to achieve this feat was Peyton Manning in 2008 and 2009.

2. How many times has Aaron Rodgers won the MVP award?

Aaron Rodgers has won the MVP award a total of three times in his career. He claimed the title in 2011, 2014, and most recently in the 2020 season.

3. What are Tom Brady’s chances of winning his fourth MVP title?

Tom Brady, a legendary quarterback, is currently one of the top contenders for the MVP award. With three previous MVP wins, Brady has proven himself as a formidable player. His odds of winning his fourth MVP title currently stand at +200.

4. Has a wide receiver ever won the NFL MVP award?

No, a wide receiver has never won the NFL MVP award in the history of the league. The MVP award has largely been dominated by quarterbacks, with running backs occasionally breaking the pattern.

5. Who was the last running back to win the MVP award?

The last running back to win the MVP award was Adrian Peterson in 2012. Peterson had an exceptional season, rushing for 2,097 yards and 12 touchdowns, securing his place as one of the league’s elite players.

Doug I. Jones

Doug I. Jones

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